Betting Lines
| Spread | AMCC -13.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Under |
| Money | AMCC -1200 UIW +650 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | AMCC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | AMCC +19 | 123 | Won |
| Massey | AMCC -15.0 (+4.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.3 (-22.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | AMCC -14.6 (+4.4) | 145.5 (-22.5) | 89% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | AMCC -12.7 (+6.3) | 142.5 (-19.5) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | AMCC -14.8 (+4.2) | 145.3 (-22.3) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | AMCC -12.6 (+6.4) | 144.5 (-21.5) | 89% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 3, 2026 | UIW 71 – 69 AMCC |
| Jan 24, 2026 | AMCC 79 – 71 UIW |
| Feb 15, 2025 | AMCC 69 – 55 UIW |
| Jan 18, 2025 | AMCC 69 – 63 UIW |
| Jan 6, 2024 | AMCC 75 – 65 UIW |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | AMCC | UIW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-12 | 8-23 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 3-15 |
| Home | 13-2 | 5-8 |
| Away | 8-7 | 3-14 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L2 | L7 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.7 | 70.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.9 | 79.3 |
| Massey | -1.2 (#179) | -13.0 (#337) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.22 (#193) | -2.54 (#345) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.31 (#193) | -3.41 (#353) |
| RPI | 0.506 (#159) | 0.372 (#358) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | AMCC | UIW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.6% | 42.2% |
| 3PT% | 30.2% | 32.3% |
| REB / G | 38.9 | 35.8 |
| OREB / G | 13.0 | 10.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.09 | 0.77 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.9% | 48.7% |
| TOV% | 17.6% | 21.5% |
| ORB% | 34.3% | 30.2% |
| FT Rate | 25.8% | 26.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.0% | 52.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.5% | 15.2% |
| DRB% | 75.1% | 70.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 33.9% | 29.3% |
Game Analysis
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