Betting Lines
| Spread | ELON -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Over |
| Money | DEL -105 ELON -115 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DEL win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DEL +2 | 156 | Won |
| Massey | ELON -1.3 (+3.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.8 (+2.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 39% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 35% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ELON -1.8 (+3.8) | 147.9 (+8.1) | 51% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ELON -0.9 (+2.9) | 147.1 (+8.9) | 45% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | ELON -0.9 (+2.9) | 147.6 (+8.4) | 39% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ELON -1.4 (+3.4) | 147.0 (+9.0) | 42% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 16, 2024 | ELON 73 – 67 DEL |
| Feb 26, 2023 | DEL 70 – 54 ELON |
| Dec 31, 2022 | DEL 57 – 52 ELON |
| Feb 18, 2022 | DEL 71 – 62 ELON |
| Jan 22, 2022 | DEL 80 – 77 ELON |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DEL | ELON |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-20 | 17-16 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 8-10 |
| Home | 8-7 | 10-4 |
| Away | 3-11 | 6-9 |
| Neutral | 5-2 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L5 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.8 | 71.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.7 | 70.9 |
| Massey | -2.5 (#204) | 2.5 (#118) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.66 (#228) | 0.48 (#127) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.80 (#226) | 0.63 (#125) |
| RPI | 0.459 (#246) | 0.521 (#134) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DEL | ELON |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.6% | 43.5% |
| 3PT% | 39.0% | 32.2% |
| REB / G | 33.0 | 40.9 |
| OREB / G | 7.4 | 12.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.19 | 1.02 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.1% | 50.2% |
| TOV% | 16.4% | 18.7% |
| ORB% | 22.3% | 38.8% |
| FT Rate | 26.4% | 29.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.9% | 45.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.5% | 12.5% |
| DRB% | 66.5% | 69.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.2% | 15.6% |
Game Analysis
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