Betting Lines
| Spread | DEL -12.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Under |
| Money | DEL -800 ELON +650 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DEL win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DEL +5 | 109 | Won |
| Massey | DEL -12.4 (-7.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.9 (-35.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DEL -9.5 (-4.5) | 141.7 (-32.7) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DEL -9.3 (-4.3) | 144.6 (-35.6) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DEL -8.9 (-3.9) | 144.0 (-35.0) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DEL -9.3 (-4.3) | 143.2 (-34.2) | 77% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 18, 2025 | DEL 79 – 77 ELON |
| Feb 16, 2024 | ELON 73 – 67 DEL |
| Feb 26, 2023 | DEL 70 – 54 ELON |
| Feb 18, 2022 | DEL 71 – 62 ELON |
| Jan 22, 2022 | DEL 80 – 77 ELON |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DEL | ELON |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-16 | 8-24 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 6-12 |
| Home | 10-5 | 5-9 |
| Away | 4-10 | 3-12 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.4 | 63.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.2 | 72.2 |
| Massey | -3.0 (#229) | -10.8 (#338) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.12 (#163) | -4.24 (#362) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.11 (#178) | -5.61 (#362) |
| RPI | 0.502 (#171) | 0.321 (#362) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DEL | ELON |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.4% | 40.3% |
| 3PT% | 31.5% | 27.3% |
| REB / G | 32.2 | 30.8 |
| OREB / G | 8.8 | 8.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.23 | 0.96 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.4% | 46.2% |
| TOV% | 15.3% | 17.5% |
| ORB% | 25.3% | 22.4% |
| FT Rate | 25.2% | 20.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.4% | 54.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.2% | 18.4% |
| DRB% | 70.6% | 68.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.0% | 21.5% |
Game Analysis
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