Betting Lines
| Spread | DEL -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Under |
| Money | ELON +320 DEL -300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ELON win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ELON +6 | 140 | Won |
| Massey | DEL -8.7 (+14.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.4 (-10.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 23% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 16% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DEL -7.9 (+13.9) | 142.5 (-2.5) | 25% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DEL -7.9 (+13.9) | 143.6 (-3.6) | 22% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | DEL -7.2 (+13.2) | 144.1 (-4.1) | 22% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DEL -8.0 (+14.0) | 144.7 (-4.7) | 22% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 18, 2025 | DEL 79 – 77 ELON |
| Feb 26, 2023 | DEL 70 – 54 ELON |
| Dec 31, 2022 | DEL 57 – 52 ELON |
| Feb 18, 2022 | DEL 71 – 62 ELON |
| Jan 22, 2022 | DEL 80 – 77 ELON |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ELON | DEL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-19 | 19-14 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 10-8 |
| Home | 8-6 | 8-5 |
| Away | 3-11 | 8-6 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.3 | 72.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.2 | 69.7 |
| Massey | -9.9 (#321) | 2.2 (#137) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.52 (#309) | 0.30 (#145) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.92 (#313) | 0.46 (#140) |
| RPI | 0.430 (#304) | 0.513 (#147) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ELON | DEL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.2% | 46.7% |
| 3PT% | 36.3% | 35.2% |
| REB / G | 32.9 | 35.1 |
| OREB / G | 9.9 | 9.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.08 | 1.37 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.8% | 52.9% |
| TOV% | 17.6% | 15.3% |
| ORB% | 28.7% | 27.6% |
| FT Rate | 23.8% | 22.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.1% | 48.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.2% | 16.0% |
| DRB% | 66.5% | 71.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.9% | 19.6% |
Game Analysis
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