Betting Lines
| Spread | DEL -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 139.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ELON win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DEL +9 | 133 | Lost |
| Massey | DEL -5.3 (-3.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.2 (-5.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 24% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 23% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DEL -3.2 (-5.8) | 138.8 (-5.8) | 38% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DEL -4.1 (-4.9) | 143.0 (-10.0) | 31% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DEL -4.6 (-4.4) | 143.8 (-10.8) | 33% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DEL -5.3 (-3.7) | 142.4 (-9.4) | 34% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 18, 2025 | DEL 79 – 77 ELON |
| Feb 16, 2024 | ELON 73 – 67 DEL |
| Feb 26, 2023 | DEL 70 – 54 ELON |
| Dec 31, 2022 | DEL 57 – 52 ELON |
| Jan 22, 2022 | DEL 80 – 77 ELON |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ELON | DEL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-22 | 22-13 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 10-8 |
| Home | 7-7 | 9-5 |
| Away | 3-11 | 8-5 |
| Neutral | 0-4 | 5-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.0 | 70.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.6 | 68.6 |
| Massey | -6.9 (#280) | 1.2 (#141) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.96 (#255) | 0.69 (#119) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.13 (#252) | 0.63 (#127) |
| RPI | 0.461 (#241) | 0.540 (#106) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ELON | DEL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.3% | 47.6% |
| 3PT% | 34.2% | 35.6% |
| REB / G | 31.0 | 31.5 |
| OREB / G | 7.9 | 8.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.89 | 1.06 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.0% | 54.6% |
| TOV% | 20.5% | 18.3% |
| ORB% | 23.4% | 27.3% |
| FT Rate | 19.1% | 23.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.7% | 50.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.3% | 18.1% |
| DRB% | 69.8% | 69.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 33.5% | 20.6% |
Game Analysis
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