Betting Lines
| Spread | DEL -9.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DEL win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DEL +3 | 157 | Won |
| Massey | DEL -10.9 (-7.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.7 (+11.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DEL -7.4 (-4.4) | 141.9 (+15.1) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DEL -9.1 (-6.1) | 146.0 (+11.0) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DEL -9.0 (-6.0) | 145.8 (+11.2) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DEL -9.5 (-6.5) | 144.2 (+12.8) | 83% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 18, 2025 | DEL 79 – 77 ELON |
| Feb 16, 2024 | ELON 73 – 67 DEL |
| Feb 26, 2023 | DEL 70 – 54 ELON |
| Dec 31, 2022 | DEL 57 – 52 ELON |
| Feb 18, 2022 | DEL 71 – 62 ELON |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DEL | ELON |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-13 | 10-22 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 7-11 |
| Home | 9-5 | 7-7 |
| Away | 8-5 | 3-11 |
| Neutral | 5-3 | 0-4 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.7 | 65.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.6 | 72.6 |
| Massey | 1.1 (#146) | -6.2 (#275) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.15 (#88) | -1.22 (#279) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.32 (#96) | -1.33 (#267) |
| RPI | 0.554 (#86) | 0.451 (#255) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DEL | ELON |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.4% | 41.1% |
| 3PT% | 36.3% | 34.4% |
| REB / G | 32.4 | 31.2 |
| OREB / G | 8.9 | 8.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.94 | 0.85 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.6% | 49.1% |
| TOV% | 19.6% | 20.8% |
| ORB% | 28.6% | 23.3% |
| FT Rate | 24.3% | 17.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.5% | 51.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.7% | 17.5% |
| DRB% | 69.8% | 69.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.8% | 35.7% |
Game Analysis
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