The black queen chants the funeral march, the cracked brass bells will ring / To summon back the fire witch to the court of the crimson king "The Court of the Crimson King" - King Crimson
Delaware Blue Hens
80 77
FINAL Conference
Elon Phoenix
Coastal Athletic Association · Bob Carpenter Center · January 22, 2022
Betting Lines
Spread DEL -9.0 Away covered
O/U 141.0 Over
Model Predictions
Spread Total DEL win
Actual DEL +3 157 Won
Massey DEL -10.9 (-7.9)
Massey Totals 145.7 (+11.3)
Bradley-Terry 95%
Weighted B-T 96%
Baseline Plus ML DEL -9.5 (-6.5) 144.2 (+12.8) 83%
Efficiency Plus ML DEL -7.4 (-4.4) 141.9 (+15.1) 82%
Baseline Tuned ML DEL -9.1 (-6.1) 146.0 (+11.0) 83%
Baseline ML DEL -9.0 (-6.0) 145.8 (+11.2) 82%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 18, 2025 DEL 7977 ELON
Feb 16, 2024 ELON 7367 DEL
Feb 26, 2023 DEL 7054 ELON
Dec 31, 2022 DEL 5752 ELON
Feb 18, 2022 DEL 7162 ELON

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings DEL ELON
Overall 22-13 10-22
Conference 10-8 7-11
Home 9-5 7-7
Away 8-5 3-11
Neutral 5-3 0-4
Last 5 4-1 1-4
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 70.7 65.0
Avg Pts Against 68.6 72.6
Massey 1.1 (#146) -6.2 (#275)
Bradley-Terry 1.15 (#88) -1.22 (#279)
W. Bradley-Terry 1.32 (#96) -1.33 (#267)
RPI 0.554 (#86) 0.451 (#255)
Shooting & Four Factors DEL ELON
FG% 47.4% 41.1%
3PT% 36.3% 34.4%
REB / G 32.4 31.2
OREB / G 8.9 8.2
AST / TO 0.94 0.85
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 54.6% 49.1%
TOV% 19.6% 20.8%
ORB% 28.6% 23.3%
FT Rate 24.3% 17.6%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 50.5% 51.8%
Opp TOV% 18.7% 17.5%
DRB% 69.8% 69.4%
Opp FT Rate 21.8% 35.7%

Game Analysis

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