Betting Lines
| Spread | DEL -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Under |
| Money | ELON +163 DEL -163 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ELON win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DEL +16 | 124 | Lost |
| Massey | DEL -2.1 (-13.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.6 (-14.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 27% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 23% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DEL -3.1 (-12.9) | 137.5 (-13.5) | 37% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DEL -2.8 (-13.2) | 139.7 (-15.7) | 37% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DEL -3.1 (-12.9) | 139.1 (-15.1) | 39% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DEL -3.3 (-12.7) | 139.3 (-15.3) | 36% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 18, 2025 | DEL 79 – 77 ELON |
| Feb 16, 2024 | ELON 73 – 67 DEL |
| Dec 31, 2022 | DEL 57 – 52 ELON |
| Feb 18, 2022 | DEL 71 – 62 ELON |
| Jan 22, 2022 | DEL 80 – 77 ELON |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ELON | DEL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 8-24 | 17-16 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 8-10 |
| Home | 5-9 | 10-5 |
| Away | 3-12 | 4-10 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 63.8 | 69.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.2 | 71.2 |
| Massey | -9.5 (#329) | -3.8 (#233) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.91 (#335) | -0.33 (#207) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.31 (#336) | -0.40 (#205) |
| RPI | 0.405 (#344) | 0.484 (#209) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ELON | DEL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.0% | 44.1% |
| 3PT% | 29.1% | 32.3% |
| REB / G | 33.1 | 32.2 |
| OREB / G | 8.6 | 8.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.96 | 1.04 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.0% | 50.0% |
| TOV% | 18.3% | 17.2% |
| ORB% | 25.1% | 25.0% |
| FT Rate | 19.7% | 24.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.0% | 51.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.4% | 18.6% |
| DRB% | 69.6% | 70.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.4% | 20.7% |
Game Analysis
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