Betting Lines
| Spread | SLU -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Under |
| Money | RICH +220 SLU -270 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RICH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SLU +4 | 122 | Lost |
| Massey | SLU -2.3 (-1.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.2 (-21.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 37% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 29% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SLU -0.7 (-3.3) | 139.5 (-17.5) | 45% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SLU -1.9 (-2.1) | 137.0 (-15.0) | 41% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SLU -2.4 (-1.6) | 137.7 (-15.7) | 37% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SLU -2.2 (-1.8) | 138.4 (-16.4) | 47% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 17, 2026 | SLU 88 – 63 RICH |
| Feb 29, 2024 | RICH 80 – 64 SLU |
| Feb 22, 2023 | RICH 81 – 78 SLU |
| Feb 26, 2022 | RICH 68 – 66 SLU |
| Jan 2, 2022 | SLU 76 – 69 RICH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RICH | SLU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-22 | 19-15 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 11-7 |
| Home | 6-9 | 14-3 |
| Away | 2-11 | 4-9 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L5 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.6 | 73.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.6 | 72.6 |
| Massey | -4.3 (#242) | 1.7 (#134) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.86 (#246) | 0.38 (#139) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.06 (#246) | 0.62 (#126) |
| RPI | 0.487 (#197) | 0.532 (#118) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RICH | SLU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.5% | 48.2% |
| 3PT% | 28.8% | 36.1% |
| REB / G | 31.3 | 34.9 |
| OREB / G | 6.8 | 7.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.19 | 1.26 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.6% | 57.2% |
| TOV% | 14.8% | 18.1% |
| ORB% | 19.7% | 24.4% |
| FT Rate | 29.4% | 22.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.4% | 48.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.0% | 14.1% |
| DRB% | 73.2% | 70.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.4% | 17.7% |
Game Analysis
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