Betting Lines
| Spread | SLU -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Over |
| Money | RICH -111 SLU -115 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RICH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RICH +3 | 159 | Won |
| Massey | SLU -0.2 (+3.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.2 (+15.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 34% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 39% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | RICH -0.6 (+2.4) | 147.7 (+11.3) | 55% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | RICH -0.8 (+2.2) | 143.4 (+15.6) | 57% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RICH -0.5 (+2.5) | 145.6 (+13.4) | 51% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SLU -0.0 (+3.0) | 147.1 (+11.9) | 54% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 17, 2026 | SLU 88 – 63 RICH |
| Jan 18, 2025 | SLU 63 – 59 RICH |
| Feb 29, 2024 | RICH 80 – 64 SLU |
| Feb 26, 2022 | RICH 68 – 66 SLU |
| Jan 2, 2022 | SLU 76 – 69 RICH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RICH | SLU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-18 | 21-12 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 12-6 |
| Home | 12-4 | 15-3 |
| Away | 1-11 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.9 | 74.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.8 | 71.7 |
| Massey | 0.5 (#159) | 4.2 (#105) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.11 (#185) | 1.17 (#79) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.12 (#164) | 1.31 (#88) |
| RPI | 0.501 (#178) | 0.580 (#46) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RICH | SLU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.1% | 46.0% |
| 3PT% | 33.5% | 34.6% |
| REB / G | 32.9 | 38.2 |
| OREB / G | 6.9 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.07 | 1.31 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.6% | 51.6% |
| TOV% | 17.1% | 17.2% |
| ORB% | 21.2% | 29.7% |
| FT Rate | 24.6% | 22.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.0% | 47.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.9% | 15.1% |
| DRB% | 75.7% | 73.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.0% | 24.0% |
Game Analysis
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