Betting Lines
| Spread | RICH -3.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Under |
| Money | RICH -160 SLU +140 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RICH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RICH +2 | 134 | Won |
| Massey | SLU -1.0 (+3.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.2 (-12.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 55% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 57% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | RICH -0.7 (+1.3) | 148.1 (-14.1) | 58% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | RICH -1.0 (+1.0) | 146.9 (-12.9) | 58% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RICH -1.0 (+1.0) | 147.4 (-13.4) | 56% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | RICH -0.5 (+1.5) | 147.6 (-13.6) | 60% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 17, 2026 | SLU 88 – 63 RICH |
| Jan 18, 2025 | SLU 63 – 59 RICH |
| Feb 29, 2024 | RICH 80 – 64 SLU |
| Feb 22, 2023 | RICH 81 – 78 SLU |
| Jan 2, 2022 | SLU 76 – 69 RICH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RICH | SLU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-13 | 23-12 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 12-6 |
| Home | 11-4 | 14-5 |
| Away | 7-5 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 6-4 | 4-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.0 | 74.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.4 | 68.3 |
| Massey | 5.9 (#95) | 9.6 (#52) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.10 (#92) | 1.39 (#75) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.31 (#96) | 1.57 (#85) |
| RPI | 0.554 (#73) | 0.568 (#59) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RICH | SLU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.9% | 45.5% |
| 3PT% | 34.2% | 36.4% |
| REB / G | 33.0 | 38.9 |
| OREB / G | 8.0 | 11.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.60 | 1.12 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.4% | 51.1% |
| TOV% | 14.3% | 18.6% |
| ORB% | 23.2% | 34.6% |
| FT Rate | 20.6% | 25.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.7% | 47.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.7% | 18.1% |
| DRB% | 72.3% | 72.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.1% | 22.3% |
Game Analysis
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