Free Nelson Mandela! "Nelson Mandela" - The Specials
Atlantic 10 Conference · Robins Center · February 26, 2022
Betting Lines
Spread RICH -3.0 Away covered
O/U 142.5 Under
Money RICH -160 / SLU +140
Model Predictions
Spread Total RICH win
Actual RICH +2 134 Won
Massey SLU -1.0 (+3.0)
Massey Totals 146.2 (-12.2)
Bradley-Terry 55%
Weighted B-T 57%
Efficiency Plus ML RICH -1.0 (+1.0) 146.9 (-12.9) 58%
Baseline Tuned ML RICH -1.0 (+1.0) 147.4 (-13.4) 56%
Baseline ML RICH -0.5 (+1.5) 147.6 (-13.6) 60%
Baseline Plus ML RICH -0.7 (+1.3) 148.1 (-14.1) 58%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 17, 2026 SLU 8863 RICH
Jan 18, 2025 SLU 6359 RICH
Feb 29, 2024 RICH 8064 SLU
Feb 22, 2023 RICH 8178 SLU
Jan 2, 2022 SLU 7669 RICH

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings RICH SLU
Overall 24-13 23-12
Conference 10-8 12-6
Home 11-4 14-5
Away 7-5 5-6
Neutral 6-4 4-1
Last 5 3-2 2-3
Streak L1 L2
Avg Pts For 71.0 74.7
Avg Pts Against 68.4 68.3
Massey 5.9 (#95) 9.6 (#52)
Bradley-Terry 1.10 (#92) 1.39 (#75)
W. Bradley-Terry 1.31 (#96) 1.57 (#85)
RPI 0.554 (#73) 0.568 (#59)
Shooting & Four Factors RICH SLU
FG% 44.9% 45.5%
3PT% 34.2% 36.4%
REB / G 33.0 38.9
OREB / G 8.0 11.9
AST / TO 1.60 1.12
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 52.4% 51.1%
TOV% 14.3% 18.6%
ORB% 23.2% 34.6%
FT Rate 20.6% 25.5%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 50.7% 47.7%
Opp TOV% 18.7% 18.1%
DRB% 72.3% 72.7%
Opp FT Rate 17.1% 22.3%

Game Analysis

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