They put a hot wire to my head / Because of the things I did and said "Rise" - Public Image Ltd.
Atlantic 10 Conference · Chaifetz Arena · January 2, 2022
Betting Lines
Spread SLU -2.0 Home covered
O/U 143.5 Over
Model Predictions
Spread Total SLU win
Actual SLU +7 145 Won
Massey SLU -8.9 (-1.9) — —
Massey Totals — 147.3 (-2.3) —
Bradley-Terry — — 75% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 80% ✓
Baseline Plus ML SLU -4.8 (+2.2) 147.0 (-2.0) 71% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ SLU -6.8 (+0.2) 145.3 (-0.3) 78% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML SLU -5.1 (+1.9) 147.8 (-2.8) 74% ✓
Baseline ML SLU -5.1 (+1.9) 146.3 (-1.3) 72% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 17, 2026 SLU 88 – 63 RICH
Jan 18, 2025 SLU 63 – 59 RICH
Feb 29, 2024 RICH 80 – 64 SLU
Feb 22, 2023 RICH 81 – 78 SLU
Feb 26, 2022 RICH 68 – 66 SLU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings SLU RICH
Overall 23-12 24-13
Conference 12-6 10-8
Home 14-5 11-4
Away 5-6 7-5
Neutral 4-1 6-4
Last 5 2-3 4-1
Streak L2 L1
Avg Pts For 74.7 71.0
Avg Pts Against 68.3 68.4
Massey 8.4 (#57) 3.9 (#110)
Bradley-Terry 1.06 (#89) 0.74 (#112)
W. Bradley-Terry 1.59 (#82) 1.04 (#108)
RPI 0.542 (#103) 0.536 (#110)
Shooting & Four Factors SLU RICH
FG% 45.4% 45.3%
3PT% 35.0% 35.0%
REB / G 38.4 32.2
OREB / G 12.5 7.1
AST / TO 0.98 1.73
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 50.7% 53.2%
TOV% 19.2% 13.9%
ORB% 35.8% 20.6%
FT Rate 31.0% 18.4%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 49.3% 50.8%
Opp TOV% 21.0% 18.6%
DRB% 72.1% 72.4%
Opp FT Rate 21.6% 17.7%

Game Analysis

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