Betting Lines
| Spread | SLU -2.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SLU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SLU +7 | 145 | Won |
| Massey | SLU -8.9 (-1.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.3 (-2.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 75% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 80% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SLU -6.8 (+0.2) | 145.3 (-0.3) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SLU -5.1 (+1.9) | 147.8 (-2.8) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SLU -5.1 (+1.9) | 146.3 (-1.3) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SLU -4.8 (+2.2) | 147.0 (-2.0) | 71% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 17, 2026 | SLU 88 – 63 RICH |
| Jan 18, 2025 | SLU 63 – 59 RICH |
| Feb 29, 2024 | RICH 80 – 64 SLU |
| Feb 22, 2023 | RICH 81 – 78 SLU |
| Feb 26, 2022 | RICH 68 – 66 SLU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SLU | RICH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-12 | 24-13 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 10-8 |
| Home | 14-5 | 11-4 |
| Away | 5-6 | 7-5 |
| Neutral | 4-1 | 6-4 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.7 | 71.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.3 | 68.4 |
| Massey | 8.4 (#57) | 3.9 (#110) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.06 (#89) | 0.74 (#112) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.59 (#82) | 1.04 (#108) |
| RPI | 0.542 (#103) | 0.536 (#110) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SLU | RICH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.4% | 45.3% |
| 3PT% | 35.0% | 35.0% |
| REB / G | 38.4 | 32.2 |
| OREB / G | 12.5 | 7.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.98 | 1.73 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.7% | 53.2% |
| TOV% | 19.2% | 13.9% |
| ORB% | 35.8% | 20.6% |
| FT Rate | 31.0% | 18.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.3% | 50.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.0% | 18.6% |
| DRB% | 72.1% | 72.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.6% | 17.7% |
Game Analysis
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