Betting Lines
| Spread | SLU -14.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 162.5 Under |
| Money | SLU -1600 RICH +900 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SLU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SLU +25 | 151 | Won |
| Massey | SLU -16.4 (+8.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 164.2 (-13.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SLU -15.5 (+9.5) | 156.6 (-5.6) | 86% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SLU -15.5 (+9.5) | 155.7 (-4.7) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SLU -14.0 (+11.0) | 155.7 (-4.7) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SLU -15.1 (+9.9) | 155.9 (-4.9) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 18, 2025 | SLU 63 – 59 RICH |
| Feb 29, 2024 | RICH 80 – 64 SLU |
| Feb 22, 2023 | RICH 81 – 78 SLU |
| Feb 26, 2022 | RICH 68 – 66 SLU |
| Jan 2, 2022 | SLU 76 – 69 RICH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SLU | RICH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 29-6 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 5-13 |
| Home | 19-0 | 11-7 |
| Away | 7-3 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 86.4 | 76.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.6 | 74.5 |
| Massey | 17.5 (#25) | 4.5 (#109) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.02 (#24) | 0.39 (#138) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.51 (#15) | 0.79 (#114) |
| RPI | 0.602 (#33) | 0.508 (#159) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SLU | RICH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 51.5% | 46.7% |
| 3PT% | 39.2% | 39.6% |
| REB / G | 42.1 | 36.3 |
| OREB / G | 11.0 | 9.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.54 | 1.48 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 60.2% | 54.9% |
| TOV% | 16.9% | 14.7% |
| ORB% | 34.2% | 27.4% |
| FT Rate | 26.9% | 29.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 42.4% | 50.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.8% | 17.8% |
| DRB% | 74.4% | 71.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.4% | 20.4% |
Game Analysis
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