Betting Lines
| Spread | RICH -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Under |
| Money | SLU +163 RICH -213 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SLU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RICH +16 | 144 | Lost |
| Massey | RICH -6.9 (-9.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.9 (-4.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 23% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 20% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | RICH -7.1 (-8.9) | 148.6 (-4.6) | 26% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | RICH -5.9 (-10.1) | 148.4 (-4.4) | 29% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RICH -6.6 (-9.4) | 149.2 (-5.2) | 24% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | RICH -6.4 (-9.6) | 149.4 (-5.4) | 25% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 17, 2026 | SLU 88 – 63 RICH |
| Jan 18, 2025 | SLU 63 – 59 RICH |
| Feb 22, 2023 | RICH 81 – 78 SLU |
| Feb 26, 2022 | RICH 68 – 66 SLU |
| Jan 2, 2022 | SLU 76 – 69 RICH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SLU | RICH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-20 | 23-10 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 15-3 |
| Home | 8-8 | 15-1 |
| Away | 3-9 | 7-6 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.1 | 71.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.8 | 66.3 |
| Massey | -2.7 (#211) | 7.5 (#77) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.16 (#187) | 1.69 (#54) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.24 (#183) | 1.83 (#65) |
| RPI | 0.489 (#196) | 0.572 (#60) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SLU | RICH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.0% | 46.4% |
| 3PT% | 36.5% | 36.2% |
| REB / G | 33.5 | 33.4 |
| OREB / G | 8.7 | 5.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.02 | 1.60 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.9% | 53.0% |
| TOV% | 17.3% | 12.3% |
| ORB% | 25.6% | 17.2% |
| FT Rate | 27.9% | 20.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.4% | 46.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.2% | 17.1% |
| DRB% | 71.3% | 73.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.5% | 19.4% |
Game Analysis
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