Betting Lines
| Spread | TXSO -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Under |
| Money | TXSO -450 ALCN +340 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TXSO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TXSO +9 | 123 | Won |
| Massey | TXSO -7.7 (+1.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.8 (-18.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 59% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 55% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TXSO -2.8 (+6.2) | 138.4 (-15.4) | 64% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TXSO -3.0 (+6.0) | 136.9 (-13.9) | 60% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TXSO -3.4 (+5.6) | 136.7 (-13.7) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TXSO -3.6 (+5.4) | 137.3 (-14.3) | 67% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 27, 2026 | TXSO 92 – 87 ALCN |
| Jan 17, 2026 | TXSO 72 – 71 ALCN |
| Mar 4, 2025 | TXSO 75 – 59 ALCN |
| Mar 5, 2024 | ALCN 82 – 79 TXSO |
| Jan 20, 2024 | TXSO 72 – 61 ALCN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TXSO | ALCN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 11-21 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 11-7 |
| Home | 9-4 | 6-3 |
| Away | 6-12 | 5-17 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.4 | 65.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.4 | 72.4 |
| Massey | -9.4 (#316) | -13.4 (#348) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.43 (#342) | -2.08 (#330) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.25 (#343) | -2.63 (#329) |
| RPI | 0.411 (#323) | 0.422 (#308) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TXSO | ALCN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.7% | 37.7% |
| 3PT% | 32.7% | 32.2% |
| REB / G | 34.0 | 33.4 |
| OREB / G | 10.5 | 12.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.94 | 0.76 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.1% | 42.7% |
| TOV% | 18.8% | 20.8% |
| ORB% | 26.3% | 32.5% |
| FT Rate | 21.3% | 19.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.7% | 56.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.0% | 17.5% |
| DRB% | 64.6% | 63.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.9% | 25.3% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.