Betting Lines
| Spread | ALCN -0.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Over |
| Money | ALCN -115 TXSO -105 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ALCN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TXSO +16 | 134 | Lost |
| Massey | ALCN -1.5 (-17.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.1 (-1.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 68% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 66% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TXSO -0.1 (-15.9) | 133.7 (+0.3) | 49% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ALCN -1.3 (-17.3) | 132.9 (+1.1) | 46% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TXSO -0.4 (-15.6) | 134.7 (-0.7) | 39% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ALCN -0.7 (-16.7) | 133.5 (+0.5) | 38% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 27, 2026 | TXSO 92 – 87 ALCN |
| Jan 17, 2026 | TXSO 72 – 71 ALCN |
| Jan 18, 2025 | TXSO 66 – 57 ALCN |
| Mar 5, 2024 | ALCN 82 – 79 TXSO |
| Jan 20, 2024 | TXSO 72 – 61 ALCN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ALCN | TXSO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-21 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 12-6 |
| Home | 6-3 | 9-4 |
| Away | 5-17 | 6-12 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.3 | 70.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.4 | 72.4 |
| Massey | -9.8 (#321) | -8.0 (#291) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.60 (#314) | -1.80 (#324) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.88 (#302) | -1.90 (#304) |
| RPI | 0.447 (#285) | 0.442 (#292) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ALCN | TXSO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.1% | 40.4% |
| 3PT% | 32.7% | 31.8% |
| REB / G | 33.8 | 36.7 |
| OREB / G | 11.9 | 11.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.79 | 0.92 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.1% | 46.1% |
| TOV% | 19.8% | 19.4% |
| ORB% | 33.6% | 29.9% |
| FT Rate | 22.2% | 21.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.7% | 47.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.3% | 20.2% |
| DRB% | 66.6% | 65.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.7% | 25.6% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.