We are like Greeks. We are like Romans. / Centaurs and monkeys just cluster 'round us "Nemesis" - Shriekback
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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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37–20 on winners spread MAE 7.7 57 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Memphis @ Temple -5.6 156.0 38% 81–88 ✗
Michigan @ Minnesota -9.7 144.6 22% 81–84 ✗
High Point @ Longwood -2.1 148.2 48% 80–82 ✗
Binghamton @ Vermont +6.2 131.1 78% 64–72 ✓
Marshall @ James Madison +7.7 142.0 77% 64–67 ✓
Georgia Southern @ Coastal Carolina +2.3 137.6 58% 88–87 ✗
App State @ Old Dominion -6.1 133.5 25% 62–43 ✓
Charleston @ Campbell -3.8 146.4 28% 67–61 ✓
Elon @ Drexel +0.8 134.3 56% 65–54 ✗
William & Mary @ Hampton +1.5 150.2 53% 67–64 ✗
Monmouth @ North Carolina A&T -1.2 149.9 37% 72–63 ✓
Hofstra @ Towson +2.3 128.3 69% 60–65 ✓
Northeastern @ UNC Wilmington +6.8 137.2 81% 72–80 ✓
Central Arkansas @ North Florida +8.9 161.7 78% 80–92 ✓
Queens University @ Stetson -6.4 150.3 26% 95–60 ✓
North Alabama @ Jacksonville +0.6 141.0 55% 60–64 ✓
Merrimack @ Quinnipiac +2.1 136.7 62% 76–81 ✓
Marist @ Saint Peter's +1.0 123.5 46% 56–51 ✗
Niagara @ Fairfield +1.6 133.6 60% 66–70 ✓
Mount St. Mary's @ Rider -1.9 135.8 38% 60–66 ✗
Sacred Heart @ Siena +2.4 146.4 61% 75–93 ✓
Canisius @ Iona +9.1 140.3 80% 61–82 ✓
Sam Houston @ Kennesaw State +1.6 155.9 65% 69–75 ✓
Louisiana Tech @ Jacksonville State +1.0 136.1 58% 61–63 ✓
New Mexico State @ Florida International -3.3 142.9 35% 59–52 ✓
Western Illinois @ Morehead State +7.0 134.2 75% 47–51 ✓
Sacramento State @ Northern Arizona +7.6 130.9 79% 53–77 ✓
Portland State @ Northern Colorado +7.5 149.9 80% 69–72 ✓
Louisiana @ Arkansas State +14.8 146.3 89% 63–83 ✓
Eastern Kentucky @ Austin Peay -2.4 142.3 40% 90–97 ✗
Utah Valley @ UT Arlington +0.1 140.3 48% 85–83 ✗
California Baptist @ Tarleton State -4.9 132.7 37% 57–67 ✗
North Dakota @ South Dakota State +10.3 157.3 84% 73–109 ✓
Oral Roberts @ South Dakota +8.5 163.8 85% 82–92 ✓
Kansas City @ North Dakota State +9.2 141.0 81% 64–71 ✓
SIU Edwardsville @ Tennessee State -0.2 138.9 50% 87–80 ✓
Southeast Missouri State @ Tennessee Tech +1.8 141.7 61% 77–70 ✗
Lindenwood @ Southern Indiana +2.1 137.7 66% 73–80 ✓
Eastern Illinois @ UT Martin +8.4 139.7 79% 63–68 ✓
Maryland @ Northwestern -1.9 140.1 56% 74–76 ✗
Rutgers @ Nebraska +8.3 148.1 80% 85–82 ✗
Montana State @ Idaho State +1.7 135.4 60% 67–70 ✓
Montana @ Weber State +0.9 144.1 55% 63–59 ✗
Abilene Christian @ Grand Canyon +13.7 140.4 88% 58–88 ✓
UTEP @ Liberty +9.2 136.5 80% 72–70 ✗
UC Davis @ Cal Poly +3.2 148.0 55% 65–54 ✗
Cal State Fullerton @ UC Irvine +19.9 140.1 90% 62–82 ✓
UC Riverside @ UC Santa Barbara +4.2 137.2 62% 63–66 ✓
UC San Diego @ Long Beach State -14.5 137.5 15% 80–54 ✓
Santa Clara @ Loyola Marymount -4.4 147.0 35% 54–57 ✗
Pacific @ Portland +1.6 146.5 70% 81–84 ✓
San Francisco @ Pepperdine -3.7 145.3 28% 80–63 ✓
Washington State @ San Diego -11.7 150.7 15% 65–61 ✓
Utah Tech @ Seattle U +10.6 139.6 85% 62–82 ✓
Gonzaga @ Oregon State -4.6 147.6 37% 89–97 ✗
Cal State Northridge @ Hawai'i +0.7 146.7 59% 83–60 ✗
Ohio @ Akron +5.3 158.6 71% 80–92 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.