Betting Lines
| Spread | NDSU -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Under |
| Money | NDSU -400 KC +300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NDSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NDSU +7 | 135 | Won |
| Massey | NDSU -13.0 (-6.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.8 (-7.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NDSU -10.0 (-3.0) | 139.2 (-4.2) | 85% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NDSU -9.2 (-2.2) | 141.0 (-6.0) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NDSU -11.7 (-4.7) | 141.6 (-6.6) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NDSU -11.5 (-4.5) | 141.5 (-6.5) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | NDSU 95 – 59 KC |
| Jan 9, 2026 | NDSU 97 – 73 KC |
| Feb 7, 2025 | NDSU 78 – 72 KC |
| Feb 9, 2024 | NDSU 82 – 78 KC |
| Jan 12, 2024 | NDSU 92 – 91 KC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NDSU | KC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-11 | 13-20 |
| Conference | 10-6 | 4-12 |
| Home | 11-4 | 9-5 |
| Away | 8-6 | 2-12 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.7 | 67.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.0 | 70.3 |
| Massey | 5.3 (#95) | -4.0 (#230) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.38 (#132) | -0.93 (#256) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.44 (#136) | -1.08 (#247) |
| RPI | 0.506 (#165) | 0.454 (#255) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NDSU | KC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.0% | 41.2% |
| 3PT% | 41.8% | 33.2% |
| REB / G | 34.8 | 32.6 |
| OREB / G | 8.4 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.47 | 0.89 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 59.5% | 48.8% |
| TOV% | 15.7% | 19.6% |
| ORB% | 27.0% | 30.8% |
| FT Rate | 26.6% | 27.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.7% | 52.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 10.0% | 17.4% |
| DRB% | 72.4% | 71.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.5% | 26.3% |
Game Analysis
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