Betting Lines
| Spread | NDSU -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Over |
| Money | KC +110 NDSU -130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | KC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NDSU +6 | 150 | Lost |
| Massey | NDSU -5.2 (-0.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.1 (+9.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 22% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 23% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NDSU -5.3 (-0.7) | 139.7 (+10.3) | 34% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NDSU -2.7 (-3.3) | 142.8 (+7.2) | 42% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NDSU -4.7 (-1.3) | 139.3 (+10.7) | 30% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NDSU -4.9 (-1.1) | 139.3 (+10.7) | 30% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | NDSU 95 – 59 KC |
| Jan 9, 2026 | NDSU 97 – 73 KC |
| Jan 17, 2025 | NDSU 71 – 64 KC |
| Feb 9, 2024 | NDSU 82 – 78 KC |
| Jan 12, 2024 | NDSU 92 – 91 KC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | KC | NDSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-20 | 21-11 |
| Conference | 4-12 | 10-6 |
| Home | 9-5 | 11-4 |
| Away | 2-12 | 8-6 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.7 | 80.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.3 | 76.0 |
| Massey | -4.4 (#234) | 4.0 (#106) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.50 (#302) | 0.31 (#148) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.50 (#278) | 0.33 (#149) |
| RPI | 0.427 (#310) | 0.505 (#172) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | KC | NDSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.6% | 47.3% |
| 3PT% | 32.9% | 39.8% |
| REB / G | 33.1 | 34.7 |
| OREB / G | 10.6 | 8.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.88 | 1.42 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.2% | 58.4% |
| TOV% | 18.9% | 15.7% |
| ORB% | 31.6% | 27.1% |
| FT Rate | 25.1% | 26.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.8% | 50.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.3% | 10.2% |
| DRB% | 70.5% | 72.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.9% | 18.0% |
Game Analysis
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