Betting Lines
| Spread | MEM -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 155.5 Over |
| Money | TEM +270 MEM -340 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TEM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TEM +7 | 169 | Won |
| Massey | MEM -7.0 (+14.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 157.3 (+11.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 7% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 4% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MEM -5.3 (+12.3) | 151.1 (+17.9) | 34% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MEM -5.6 (+12.6) | 156.0 (+13.0) | 38% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MEM -6.2 (+13.2) | 153.0 (+16.0) | 26% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | MEM -5.5 (+12.5) | 153.1 (+15.9) | 32% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 15, 2026 | MEM 55 – 53 TEM |
| Feb 9, 2025 | MEM 90 – 82 TEM |
| Feb 9, 2024 | MEM 84 – 77 TEM |
| Feb 12, 2023 | MEM 86 – 77 TEM |
| Jan 15, 2023 | MEM 61 – 59 TEM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TEM | MEM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-15 | 29-6 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 16-2 |
| Home | 12-2 | 13-2 |
| Away | 3-9 | 11-2 |
| Neutral | 2-4 | 5-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.7 | 79.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.6 | 73.4 |
| Massey | 2.4 (#119) | 13.1 (#38) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.46 (#124) | 3.75 (#11) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.51 (#128) | 4.51 (#12) |
| RPI | 0.543 (#93) | 0.700 (#2) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TEM | MEM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.8% | 46.5% |
| 3PT% | 34.9% | 40.0% |
| REB / G | 38.3 | 35.4 |
| OREB / G | 11.2 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.93 | 0.88 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.5% | 53.5% |
| TOV% | 16.0% | 20.4% |
| ORB% | 31.0% | 33.1% |
| FT Rate | 32.3% | 33.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.0% | 48.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.9% | 19.4% |
| DRB% | 67.5% | 65.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.9% | 23.7% |
Game Analysis
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