Betting Lines
| Spread | MEM -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Under |
| Money | MEM -375 TEM +295 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MEM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MEM +2 | 108 | Won |
| Massey | MEM -9.0 (-7.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.5 (-42.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 69% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MEM -5.9 (-3.9) | 141.7 (-33.7) | 72% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MEM -8.7 (-6.7) | 142.4 (-34.4) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MEM -6.9 (-4.9) | 142.6 (-34.6) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MEM -6.8 (-4.8) | 141.9 (-33.9) | 73% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 9, 2025 | MEM 90 – 82 TEM |
| Jan 17, 2025 | TEM 88 – 81 MEM |
| Feb 9, 2024 | MEM 84 – 77 TEM |
| Feb 12, 2023 | MEM 86 – 77 TEM |
| Jan 15, 2023 | MEM 61 – 59 TEM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MEM | TEM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-19 | 16-16 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 8-10 |
| Home | 10-6 | 10-6 |
| Away | 3-10 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 1-4 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.2 | 73.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.7 | 71.2 |
| Massey | 5.5 (#103) | 0.0 (#166) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.62 (#118) | 0.41 (#138) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.90 (#112) | 0.48 (#135) |
| RPI | 0.526 (#120) | 0.511 (#150) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MEM | TEM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.2% | 45.6% |
| 3PT% | 32.7% | 37.9% |
| REB / G | 37.3 | 33.1 |
| OREB / G | 13.5 | 9.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.96 | 1.45 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.1% | 52.5% |
| TOV% | 20.4% | 13.3% |
| ORB% | 36.4% | 28.7% |
| FT Rate | 24.2% | 32.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.2% | 51.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.6% | 15.4% |
| DRB% | 64.4% | 69.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.5% | 22.7% |
Game Analysis
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