He is handing the money / He is serving the food / He knows about your party / He is calling you dude. "Comfort Eagle" - Cake
Memphis Tigers
55 53
FINAL Conference
Temple Owls
American Conference · FedExForum · January 15, 2026
Betting Lines
Spread MEM -7.5 Away covered
O/U 143.5 Under
Money MEM -375 / TEM +295
Model Predictions
Spread Total MEM win
Actual MEM +2 108 Won
Massey MEM -9.0 (-7.0)
Massey Totals 150.5 (-42.5)
Bradley-Terry 69%
Weighted B-T 74%
Efficiency Plus ML MEM -8.7 (-6.7) 142.4 (-34.4) 81%
Baseline Tuned ML MEM -6.9 (-4.9) 142.6 (-34.6) 76%
Baseline ML MEM -6.8 (-4.8) 141.9 (-33.9) 73%
Baseline Plus ML MEM -5.9 (-3.9) 141.7 (-33.7) 72%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 9, 2025 MEM 9082 TEM
Jan 17, 2025 TEM 8881 MEM
Feb 9, 2024 MEM 8477 TEM
Feb 12, 2023 MEM 8677 TEM
Jan 15, 2023 MEM 6159 TEM

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings MEM TEM
Overall 13-19 16-16
Conference 8-10 8-10
Home 10-6 10-6
Away 3-10 5-6
Neutral 0-3 1-4
Last 5 3-2 5-0
Streak L1 L2
Avg Pts For 75.2 73.0
Avg Pts Against 76.7 71.2
Massey 5.5 (#103) 0.0 (#166)
Bradley-Terry 0.62 (#118) 0.41 (#138)
W. Bradley-Terry 0.90 (#112) 0.48 (#135)
RPI 0.526 (#120) 0.511 (#150)
Shooting & Four Factors MEM TEM
FG% 43.2% 45.6%
3PT% 32.7% 37.9%
REB / G 37.3 33.1
OREB / G 13.5 9.5
AST / TO 0.96 1.45
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 49.1% 52.5%
TOV% 20.4% 13.3%
ORB% 36.4% 28.7%
FT Rate 24.2% 32.8%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 48.2% 51.1%
Opp TOV% 19.6% 15.4%
DRB% 64.4% 69.6%
Opp FT Rate 28.5% 22.7%

Game Analysis

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