Betting Lines
| Spread | MEM -14.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 154.5 Over |
| Money | MEM -2500 TEM +1100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MEM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MEM +8 | 172 | Won |
| Massey | MEM -13.9 (-5.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 162.3 (+9.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MEM -12.8 (-4.8) | 158.5 (+13.5) | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MEM -12.4 (-4.4) | 160.2 (+11.8) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MEM -14.6 (-6.6) | 158.1 (+13.9) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MEM -13.2 (-5.2) | 158.0 (+14.0) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 15, 2026 | MEM 55 – 53 TEM |
| Jan 17, 2025 | TEM 88 – 81 MEM |
| Feb 9, 2024 | MEM 84 – 77 TEM |
| Feb 12, 2023 | MEM 86 – 77 TEM |
| Jan 15, 2023 | MEM 61 – 59 TEM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MEM | TEM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 29-6 | 17-15 |
| Conference | 16-2 | 9-9 |
| Home | 13-2 | 12-2 |
| Away | 11-2 | 3-9 |
| Neutral | 5-2 | 2-4 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.9 | 77.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.4 | 77.6 |
| Massey | 12.0 (#47) | 1.2 (#143) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.23 (#10) | 0.38 (#140) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.77 (#18) | 0.37 (#150) |
| RPI | 0.657 (#4) | 0.531 (#117) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MEM | TEM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.0% | 44.4% |
| 3PT% | 40.3% | 35.9% |
| REB / G | 34.8 | 38.2 |
| OREB / G | 10.6 | 11.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.98 | 0.91 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.1% | 50.1% |
| TOV% | 20.0% | 16.2% |
| ORB% | 32.4% | 32.6% |
| FT Rate | 28.8% | 32.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.7% | 49.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.1% | 15.8% |
| DRB% | 65.4% | 68.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.4% | 24.5% |
Game Analysis
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