Betting Lines
| Spread | MEM -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Over |
| Money | MEM -450 TEM +320 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MEM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MEM +9 | 163 | Won |
| Massey | MEM -10.5 (-1.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.1 (+11.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 87% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MEM -10.1 (-1.1) | 149.1 (+13.9) | 83% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MEM -10.6 (-1.6) | 149.6 (+13.4) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MEM -10.5 (-1.5) | 150.3 (+12.7) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MEM -10.1 (-1.1) | 152.5 (+10.5) | 83% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 15, 2026 | MEM 55 – 53 TEM |
| Feb 9, 2025 | MEM 90 – 82 TEM |
| Jan 17, 2025 | TEM 88 – 81 MEM |
| Feb 9, 2024 | MEM 84 – 77 TEM |
| Jan 15, 2023 | MEM 61 – 59 TEM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MEM | TEM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 26-9 | 16-16 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 10-8 |
| Home | 13-2 | 9-7 |
| Away | 7-5 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 6-2 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.4 | 69.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.8 | 70.2 |
| Massey | 10.3 (#43) | 3.4 (#119) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.92 (#42) | 0.61 (#119) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.64 (#32) | 0.75 (#115) |
| RPI | 0.595 (#30) | 0.538 (#109) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MEM | TEM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.8% | 42.0% |
| 3PT% | 33.2% | 32.2% |
| REB / G | 36.7 | 35.9 |
| OREB / G | 10.9 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.23 | 0.96 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.5% | 49.1% |
| TOV% | 18.0% | 20.5% |
| ORB% | 31.8% | 29.1% |
| FT Rate | 26.5% | 27.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.9% | 47.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.1% | 16.9% |
| DRB% | 68.1% | 70.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.5% | 21.4% |
Game Analysis
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