Betting Lines
| Spread | MEM -10.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Over |
| Money | TEM +400 MEM -600 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TEM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MEM +7 | 161 | Lost |
| Massey | MEM -7.4 (+0.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 155.2 (+5.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 12% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 5% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MEM -5.8 (-1.2) | 150.6 (+10.4) | 29% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MEM -6.7 (-0.3) | 151.7 (+9.3) | 28% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MEM -6.8 (-0.2) | 147.8 (+13.2) | 25% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MEM -6.6 (-0.4) | 149.1 (+11.9) | 34% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 15, 2026 | MEM 55 – 53 TEM |
| Feb 9, 2025 | MEM 90 – 82 TEM |
| Jan 17, 2025 | TEM 88 – 81 MEM |
| Feb 12, 2023 | MEM 86 – 77 TEM |
| Jan 15, 2023 | MEM 61 – 59 TEM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TEM | MEM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-20 | 22-10 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 11-7 |
| Home | 5-9 | 13-2 |
| Away | 5-7 | 7-6 |
| Neutral | 6-4 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.5 | 80.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.4 | 75.8 |
| Massey | -3.5 (#229) | 7.2 (#81) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.90 (#266) | 1.71 (#55) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.27 (#281) | 2.25 (#52) |
| RPI | 0.458 (#253) | 0.582 (#48) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TEM | MEM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 37.4% | 45.9% |
| 3PT% | 29.6% | 35.3% |
| REB / G | 36.6 | 37.3 |
| OREB / G | 12.3 | 11.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.04 | 0.98 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.0% | 52.6% |
| TOV% | 14.8% | 18.6% |
| ORB% | 29.7% | 32.9% |
| FT Rate | 22.7% | 27.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.7% | 49.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.5% | 18.9% |
| DRB% | 69.8% | 66.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.8% | 21.5% |
Game Analysis
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