Betting Lines
| Spread | MEM -5.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Under |
| Money | TEM +185 MEM -225 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TEM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MEM +2 | 120 | Lost |
| Massey | MEM -4.3 (+2.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.8 (-30.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 30% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 20% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MEM -4.2 (+2.2) | 151.6 (-31.6) | 36% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MEM -3.8 (+1.8) | 150.7 (-30.7) | 36% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MEM -3.4 (+1.4) | 149.0 (-29.0) | 36% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MEM -3.5 (+1.5) | 150.7 (-30.7) | 35% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 15, 2026 | MEM 55 – 53 TEM |
| Feb 9, 2025 | MEM 90 – 82 TEM |
| Jan 17, 2025 | TEM 88 – 81 MEM |
| Feb 9, 2024 | MEM 84 – 77 TEM |
| Feb 12, 2023 | MEM 86 – 77 TEM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TEM | MEM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-16 | 26-9 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 13-5 |
| Home | 9-7 | 13-2 |
| Away | 5-6 | 7-5 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 6-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.6 | 79.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.2 | 71.8 |
| Massey | 1.1 (#154) | 9.3 (#50) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.23 (#156) | 1.77 (#45) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.30 (#151) | 2.48 (#38) |
| RPI | 0.520 (#139) | 0.599 (#32) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TEM | MEM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.0% | 47.3% |
| 3PT% | 32.9% | 31.8% |
| REB / G | 35.2 | 36.4 |
| OREB / G | 9.7 | 11.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.96 | 1.17 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.1% | 51.6% |
| TOV% | 20.0% | 18.4% |
| ORB% | 28.6% | 32.3% |
| FT Rate | 25.5% | 25.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.5% | 46.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.9% | 22.1% |
| DRB% | 69.5% | 66.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.3% | 27.2% |
Game Analysis
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