Betting Lines
| Spread | GONZ -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Over |
| Money | ORST +320 GONZ -425 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ORST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ORST +8 | 186 | Won |
| Massey | GONZ -7.0 (+15.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.7 (+32.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 35% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 24% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GONZ -3.4 (+11.4) | 150.7 (+35.3) | 38% ✗ |
| Model 4 ML ★ | GONZ -4.6 (+12.6) | 147.6 (+38.4) | 37% ✗ |
| Model 3 ML | GONZ -3.8 (+11.8) | 149.9 (+36.1) | 36% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | GONZ -3.5 (+11.5) | 153.1 (+32.9) | 37% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 10, 2026 | GONZ 65 – 56 ORST |
| Feb 7, 2026 | GONZ 81 – 61 ORST |
| Jan 29, 2025 | GONZ 98 – 60 ORST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ORST | GONZ |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-13 | 26-9 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 14-4 |
| Home | 15-3 | 13-2 |
| Away | 3-7 | 7-2 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 6-5 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.7 | 86.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.3 | 69.9 |
| Massey | 9.7 (#60) | 20.5 (#10) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.33 (#72) | 2.63 (#29) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.75 (#75) | 3.71 (#26) |
| RPI | 0.535 (#107) | 0.619 (#27) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ORST | GONZ |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.2% | 49.5% |
| 3PT% | 37.6% | 35.1% |
| REB / G | 34.9 | 40.2 |
| OREB / G | 9.4 | 11.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.34 | 1.86 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.5% | 55.7% |
| TOV% | 17.7% | 14.1% |
| ORB% | 32.0% | 33.7% |
| FT Rate | 28.4% | 24.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.0% | 47.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.5% | 18.1% |
| DRB% | 73.6% | 75.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.9% | 19.5% |
Game Analysis
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