Betting Lines
| Spread | GONZ -20.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Under |
| Money | GONZ -4500 ORST +1700 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GONZ win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GONZ +9 | 121 | Won |
| Massey | GONZ -23.8 (-14.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.2 (-26.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GONZ -18.7 (-9.7) | 144.0 (-23.0) | 88% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GONZ -16.6 (-7.6) | 147.5 (-26.5) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GONZ -20.9 (-11.9) | 145.2 (-24.2) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GONZ -20.6 (-11.6) | 145.5 (-24.5) | 89% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | GONZ 81 – 61 ORST |
| Jan 29, 2025 | GONZ 98 – 60 ORST |
| Jan 17, 2025 | ORST 97 – 89 GONZ |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GONZ | ORST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 31-4 | 17-16 |
| Conference | 16-2 | 9-9 |
| Home | 15-0 | 12-5 |
| Away | 8-2 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 8-2 | 1-4 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 84.3 | 71.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.2 | 74.2 |
| Massey | 23.0 (#6) | -0.8 (#176) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.80 (#7) | 0.35 (#131) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.74 (#8) | 0.30 (#141) |
| RPI | 0.625 (#15) | 0.516 (#138) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GONZ | ORST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 51.1% | 43.0% |
| 3PT% | 34.0% | 35.4% |
| REB / G | 40.2 | 32.4 |
| OREB / G | 12.1 | 8.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.87 | 1.17 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.3% | 50.8% |
| TOV% | 13.7% | 17.7% |
| ORB% | 35.0% | 26.7% |
| FT Rate | 21.7% | 33.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.5% | 50.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.6% | 15.3% |
| DRB% | 75.0% | 67.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.5% | 26.1% |
Game Analysis
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