Betting Lines
| Spread | COFC -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Under |
| Money | CAM +170 COFC -200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CAM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COFC +6 | 128 | Lost |
| Massey | COFC -3.3 (-2.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.7 (-22.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 13% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 17% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COFC -3.8 (-2.2) | 146.4 (-18.4) | 28% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COFC -4.2 (-1.8) | 146.4 (-18.4) | 31% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | COFC -3.9 (-2.1) | 148.0 (-20.0) | 32% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COFC -3.9 (-2.1) | 149.7 (-21.7) | 34% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 15, 2026 | COFC 62 – 57 CAM |
| Jan 23, 2026 | COFC 87 – 83 CAM |
| Mar 1, 2025 | COFC 87 – 65 CAM |
| Mar 1, 2024 | COFC 96 – 73 CAM |
| Jan 27, 2024 | COFC 90 – 67 CAM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CAM | COFC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 24-9 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 13-5 |
| Home | 8-6 | 13-2 |
| Away | 7-10 | 7-5 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L5 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.9 | 76.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.3 | 73.9 |
| Massey | -5.6 (#260) | 1.4 (#138) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.49 (#305) | 1.07 (#85) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.43 (#274) | 0.94 (#104) |
| RPI | 0.428 (#296) | 0.565 (#63) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CAM | COFC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.4% | 44.5% |
| 3PT% | 31.3% | 35.4% |
| REB / G | 29.9 | 36.4 |
| OREB / G | 7.9 | 8.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.14 | 1.27 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.0% | 51.5% |
| TOV% | 16.2% | 17.2% |
| ORB% | 22.8% | 25.0% |
| FT Rate | 25.6% | 26.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.6% | 49.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.8% | 17.2% |
| DRB% | 71.7% | 71.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.8% | 20.8% |
Game Analysis
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