Tap turns on the water, see the waters flow. "Tap Turns on the Water" - C.C.S.
Coastal Athletic Association · TD Arena · January 23, 2026
Betting Lines
Spread COFC -3.5 Home covered
O/U 160.5 Over
Money COFC -155 / CAM +130
Model Predictions
Spread Total COFC win
Actual COFC +4 170 Won
Massey COFC -4.5 (-0.5)
Massey Totals 159.9 (+10.1)
Bradley-Terry 66%
Weighted B-T 65%
Efficiency Plus ML COFC -3.1 (+0.9) 153.1 (+16.9) 75%
Baseline Tuned ML COFC -3.0 (+1.0) 149.3 (+20.7) 67%
Baseline ML COFC -2.9 (+1.1) 151.4 (+18.6) 67%
Baseline Plus ML COFC -3.5 (+0.5) 152.5 (+17.5) 68%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 15, 2026 COFC 6257 CAM
Mar 1, 2025 COFC 8765 CAM
Jan 17, 2025 COFC 6761 CAM
Mar 1, 2024 COFC 9673 CAM
Jan 27, 2024 COFC 9067 CAM

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings COFC CAM
Overall 21-11 16-18
Conference 14-4 8-10
Home 11-4 10-4
Away 8-4 3-13
Neutral 2-3 3-1
Last 5 3-2 3-2
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 75.3 76.1
Avg Pts Against 73.9 78.8
Massey -0.9 (#182) -2.2 (#197)
Bradley-Terry 0.22 (#150) 0.14 (#154)
W. Bradley-Terry 0.14 (#156) 0.16 (#153)
RPI 0.520 (#127) 0.522 (#126)
Shooting & Four Factors COFC CAM
FG% 44.0% 43.4%
3PT% 30.9% 30.7%
REB / G 37.7 34.1
OREB / G 10.6 12.1
AST / TO 1.12 0.78
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 50.4% 49.2%
TOV% 16.1% 19.0%
ORB% 30.4% 33.5%
FT Rate 33.0% 33.7%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 50.4% 55.6%
Opp TOV% 13.8% 16.7%
DRB% 69.3% 68.6%
Opp FT Rate 19.9% 26.6%

Game Analysis

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