Betting Lines
| Spread | SEA -11.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Over |
| Money | SEA -1000 UTU +600 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SEA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SEA +20 | 144 | Won |
| Massey | SEA -11.2 (+8.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.1 (+3.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 82% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SEA -10.6 (+9.4) | 139.6 (+4.4) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SEA -8.2 (+11.8) | 138.1 (+5.9) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SEA -8.3 (+11.7) | 138.8 (+5.2) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SEA -8.5 (+11.5) | 139.6 (+4.4) | 78% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 9, 2025 | SEA 70 – 65 UTU |
| Feb 18, 2024 | SEA 66 – 65 UTU |
| Jan 5, 2024 | SEA 70 – 53 UTU |
| Mar 2, 2023 | UTU 93 – 56 SEA |
| Feb 9, 2023 | SEA 75 – 71 UTU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SEA | UTU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-18 | 7-26 |
| Conference | 8-8 | 2-14 |
| Home | 9-5 | 5-8 |
| Away | 4-11 | 0-16 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.8 | 68.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.6 | 76.9 |
| Massey | 0.2 (#161) | -7.4 (#286) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.55 (#218) | -1.38 (#292) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.34 (#197) | -1.60 (#284) |
| RPI | 0.488 (#193) | 0.421 (#311) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SEA | UTU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.0% | 41.0% |
| 3PT% | 32.7% | 31.7% |
| REB / G | 34.0 | 31.5 |
| OREB / G | 10.9 | 9.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.89 | 1.08 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.5% | 47.6% |
| TOV% | 18.7% | 17.2% |
| ORB% | 31.0% | 25.9% |
| FT Rate | 34.0% | 23.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.7% | 52.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.2% | 18.2% |
| DRB% | 74.9% | 64.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.5% | 24.2% |
Game Analysis
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