Betting Lines
| Spread | SEA -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Under |
| Money | UTU +300 SEA -400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SEA +5 | 135 | Lost |
| Massey | SEA -6.8 (+1.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.8 (-4.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 28% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 24% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SEA -8.2 (+3.2) | 136.6 (-1.6) | 22% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SEA -6.0 (+1.0) | 136.9 (-1.9) | 24% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SEA -6.5 (+1.5) | 138.6 (-3.6) | 27% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SEA -6.9 (+1.9) | 138.3 (-3.3) | 24% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 17, 2025 | SEA 82 – 62 UTU |
| Feb 18, 2024 | SEA 66 – 65 UTU |
| Jan 5, 2024 | SEA 70 – 53 UTU |
| Mar 2, 2023 | UTU 93 – 56 SEA |
| Feb 9, 2023 | SEA 75 – 71 UTU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UTU | SEA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7-26 | 14-18 |
| Conference | 2-14 | 8-8 |
| Home | 5-8 | 9-5 |
| Away | 0-16 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.2 | 68.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.9 | 67.6 |
| Massey | -8.6 (#301) | 1.4 (#137) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.16 (#335) | -0.64 (#230) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.30 (#326) | -0.47 (#202) |
| RPI | 0.398 (#346) | 0.480 (#223) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UTU | SEA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.4% | 40.8% |
| 3PT% | 33.4% | 31.5% |
| REB / G | 31.1 | 34.2 |
| OREB / G | 9.5 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.98 | 1.01 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.1% | 46.6% |
| TOV% | 18.3% | 16.9% |
| ORB% | 26.8% | 30.5% |
| FT Rate | 23.1% | 29.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.4% | 51.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.4% | 20.5% |
| DRB% | 65.7% | 73.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.4% | 25.8% |
Game Analysis
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