Betting Lines
| Spread | SEA -10.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Under |
| Money | SEA -600 UTU +500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SEA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SEA +17 | 123 | Won |
| Massey | SEA -14.1 (+2.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.9 (-24.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 78% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SEA -11.3 (+5.7) | 146.4 (-23.4) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SEA -11.7 (+5.3) | 146.2 (-23.2) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SEA -12.0 (+5.0) | 147.3 (-24.3) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SEA -11.7 (+5.3) | 146.1 (-23.1) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 9, 2025 | SEA 70 – 65 UTU |
| Jan 17, 2025 | SEA 82 – 62 UTU |
| Feb 18, 2024 | SEA 66 – 65 UTU |
| Mar 2, 2023 | UTU 93 – 56 SEA |
| Feb 9, 2023 | SEA 75 – 71 UTU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SEA | UTU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-14 | 11-20 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 7-13 |
| Home | 14-4 | 6-7 |
| Away | 4-9 | 4-13 |
| Neutral | 5-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | W4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.0 | 70.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.4 | 77.3 |
| Massey | 4.8 (#101) | -4.9 (#255) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.12 (#168) | -0.29 (#205) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.71 (#130) | -0.45 (#214) |
| RPI | 0.489 (#187) | 0.491 (#184) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SEA | UTU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.7% | 43.3% |
| 3PT% | 32.7% | 37.3% |
| REB / G | 36.3 | 34.9 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 9.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.91 | 0.86 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.0% | 49.9% |
| TOV% | 19.9% | 20.6% |
| ORB% | 30.6% | 27.4% |
| FT Rate | 27.6% | 23.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.3% | 50.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.3% | 18.2% |
| DRB% | 74.0% | 66.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.6% | 28.3% |
Game Analysis
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