Betting Lines
| Spread | SEA -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Under |
| Money | SEA -300 UTU +225 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SEA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SEA +4 | 146 | Won |
| Massey | SEA -6.0 (-2.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.0 (-0.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 84% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 85% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SEA -7.1 (-3.1) | 144.0 (+2.0) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SEA -5.0 (-1.0) | 145.3 (+0.7) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SEA -5.0 (-1.0) | 145.6 (+0.4) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SEA -6.0 (-2.0) | 144.4 (+1.6) | 76% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 9, 2025 | SEA 70 – 65 UTU |
| Jan 17, 2025 | SEA 82 – 62 UTU |
| Feb 18, 2024 | SEA 66 – 65 UTU |
| Jan 5, 2024 | SEA 70 – 53 UTU |
| Mar 2, 2023 | UTU 93 – 56 SEA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SEA | UTU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-12 | 14-19 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 5-13 |
| Home | 12-2 | 9-5 |
| Away | 7-7 | 3-13 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.3 | 73.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.0 | 75.0 |
| Massey | 2.1 (#129) | -0.3 (#170) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.78 (#107) | -0.26 (#201) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.72 (#121) | -0.28 (#196) |
| RPI | 0.540 (#102) | 0.479 (#217) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SEA | UTU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.0% | 44.5% |
| 3PT% | 30.8% | 37.7% |
| REB / G | 37.5 | 33.8 |
| OREB / G | 11.5 | 9.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.05 | 0.77 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.2% | 52.1% |
| TOV% | 16.8% | 21.6% |
| ORB% | 30.1% | 29.1% |
| FT Rate | 21.0% | 30.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.5% | 54.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.8% | 20.1% |
| DRB% | 74.3% | 73.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.0% | 25.5% |
Game Analysis
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