Betting Lines
| Spread | UTU -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Over |
| Money | UTU -138 SEA +110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UTU +37 | 149 | Won |
| Massey | UTU -1.2 (+35.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.6 (+4.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 36% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 40% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SEA -1.0 (+38.0) | 144.3 (+4.7) | 47% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UTU -0.8 (+36.2) | 142.7 (+6.3) | 52% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UTU -0.0 (+37.0) | 144.3 (+4.7) | 46% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UTU -0.5 (+36.5) | 146.8 (+2.2) | 47% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 9, 2025 | SEA 70 – 65 UTU |
| Jan 17, 2025 | SEA 82 – 62 UTU |
| Feb 18, 2024 | SEA 66 – 65 UTU |
| Jan 5, 2024 | SEA 70 – 53 UTU |
| Feb 9, 2023 | SEA 75 – 71 UTU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UTU | SEA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-19 | 20-12 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 11-7 |
| Home | 9-5 | 12-2 |
| Away | 3-13 | 7-7 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.9 | 70.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.0 | 70.0 |
| Massey | -0.3 (#173) | 2.0 (#134) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.38 (#213) | 0.81 (#101) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.33 (#197) | 0.77 (#118) |
| RPI | 0.473 (#238) | 0.540 (#101) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UTU | SEA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.6% | 39.6% |
| 3PT% | 37.6% | 30.8% |
| REB / G | 33.3 | 37.2 |
| OREB / G | 9.7 | 11.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.80 | 0.99 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.5% | 46.5% |
| TOV% | 21.6% | 16.8% |
| ORB% | 29.0% | 29.7% |
| FT Rate | 31.4% | 21.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.7% | 48.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.3% | 17.8% |
| DRB% | 72.9% | 73.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.6% | 22.8% |
Game Analysis
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