Betting Lines
| Spread | SEA -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Under |
| Money | UTU +210 SEA -275 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SEA +1 | 131 | Lost |
| Massey | SEA -6.8 (+5.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.3 (-14.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 41% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 28% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SEA -6.1 (+5.1) | 145.9 (-14.9) | 32% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SEA -4.7 (+3.7) | 144.2 (-13.2) | 33% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SEA -5.3 (+4.3) | 145.2 (-14.2) | 32% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SEA -6.0 (+5.0) | 146.2 (-15.2) | 33% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 9, 2025 | SEA 70 – 65 UTU |
| Jan 17, 2025 | SEA 82 – 62 UTU |
| Jan 5, 2024 | SEA 70 – 53 UTU |
| Mar 2, 2023 | UTU 93 – 56 SEA |
| Feb 9, 2023 | SEA 75 – 71 UTU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UTU | SEA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-20 | 23-14 |
| Conference | 7-13 | 11-9 |
| Home | 6-7 | 14-4 |
| Away | 4-13 | 4-9 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 5-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | W4 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.4 | 73.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.3 | 67.4 |
| Massey | -6.5 (#278) | 3.8 (#116) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.68 (#246) | 0.33 (#146) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.86 (#244) | 0.80 (#125) |
| RPI | 0.463 (#249) | 0.516 (#147) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UTU | SEA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.8% | 44.0% |
| 3PT% | 34.5% | 33.8% |
| REB / G | 34.2 | 37.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.9 | 10.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.83 | 0.94 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.8% | 50.3% |
| TOV% | 21.7% | 18.9% |
| ORB% | 27.8% | 30.2% |
| FT Rate | 24.6% | 27.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.0% | 46.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.6% | 17.8% |
| DRB% | 67.2% | 73.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.0% | 27.0% |
Game Analysis
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