Betting Lines
| Spread | SIE -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Over |
| Money | SIE -115 SHU -105 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SIE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SIE +18 | 168 | Won |
| Massey | SIE -3.6 (+14.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.8 (+21.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 78% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 79% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SIE -2.4 (+15.6) | 146.4 (+21.6) | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SIE -2.5 (+15.5) | 146.1 (+21.9) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SIE -2.6 (+15.4) | 148.4 (+19.6) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SIE -2.4 (+15.6) | 147.6 (+20.4) | 64% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 15, 2026 | SHU 86 – 80 SIE |
| Feb 16, 2025 | SIE 80 – 73 SHU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SIE | SHU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-18 | 15-18 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 10-10 |
| Home | 9-5 | 8-5 |
| Away | 4-10 | 5-11 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.2 | 75.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.1 | 75.7 |
| Massey | -5.8 (#266) | -5.6 (#261) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.63 (#226) | -1.23 (#284) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.78 (#224) | -1.34 (#263) |
| RPI | 0.468 (#229) | 0.434 (#286) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SIE | SHU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.6% | 43.2% |
| 3PT% | 33.2% | 36.1% |
| REB / G | 31.4 | 36.2 |
| OREB / G | 9.9 | 11.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.86 | 1.15 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.4% | 50.6% |
| TOV% | 18.9% | 18.5% |
| ORB% | 28.7% | 30.8% |
| FT Rate | 26.8% | 19.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.3% | 53.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.8% | 18.2% |
| DRB% | 70.2% | 72.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.9% | 22.2% |
Game Analysis
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