Betting Lines
| Spread | SIE -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Over |
| Money | SIE -410 SHU +320 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SIE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SHU +6 | 166 | Lost |
| Massey | SIE -11.4 (-17.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.2 (+23.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 89% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 90% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SIE -8.3 (-14.3) | 137.6 (+28.4) | 82% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SIE -8.6 (-14.6) | 134.4 (+31.6) | 81% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SIE -8.8 (-14.8) | 135.4 (+30.6) | 76% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SIE -9.2 (-15.2) | 132.6 (+33.4) | 80% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 16, 2025 | SIE 80 – 73 SHU |
| Jan 17, 2025 | SIE 93 – 75 SHU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SIE | SHU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-12 | 14-19 |
| Conference | 13-7 | 9-11 |
| Home | 9-4 | 8-5 |
| Away | 9-7 | 5-13 |
| Neutral | 5-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.4 | 74.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.8 | 77.6 |
| Massey | -0.9 (#186) | -8.8 (#295) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.17 (#189) | -1.68 (#310) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.30 (#193) | -1.82 (#288) |
| RPI | 0.485 (#201) | 0.419 (#318) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SIE | SHU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.3% | 41.7% |
| 3PT% | 28.8% | 34.3% |
| REB / G | 34.7 | 34.2 |
| OREB / G | 11.5 | 11.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.18 | 0.99 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.9% | 50.3% |
| TOV% | 16.3% | 20.0% |
| ORB% | 34.3% | 32.1% |
| FT Rate | 24.7% | 22.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.2% | 55.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.7% | 16.8% |
| DRB% | 71.8% | 68.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.7% | 22.9% |
Game Analysis
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