Betting Lines
| Spread | JMU -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Under |
| Money | JMU -300 MRSH +250 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | JMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | JMU +3 | 131 | Won |
| Massey | JMU -6.5 (-3.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.2 (-15.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 79% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 85% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | JMU -7.7 (-4.7) | 142.0 (-11.0) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | JMU -4.6 (-1.6) | 142.9 (-11.9) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | JMU -4.6 (-1.6) | 141.8 (-10.8) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | JMU -4.7 (-1.7) | 142.7 (-11.7) | 67% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 17, 2026 | MRSH 77 – 72 JMU |
| Jan 8, 2026 | MRSH 66 – 64 JMU |
| Jan 10, 2025 | MRSH 80 – 78 JMU |
| Mar 10, 2024 | JMU 81 – 64 MRSH |
| Feb 22, 2024 | JMU 84 – 58 MRSH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | JMU | MRSH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-12 | 20-13 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 12-6 |
| Home | 13-2 | 14-3 |
| Away | 5-8 | 5-9 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.3 | 74.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.3 | 72.5 |
| Massey | 0.6 (#155) | -2.1 (#201) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.22 (#154) | -0.44 (#209) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.36 (#143) | -0.60 (#209) |
| RPI | 0.531 (#116) | 0.473 (#221) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | JMU | MRSH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.3% | 43.0% |
| 3PT% | 34.5% | 29.7% |
| REB / G | 36.1 | 36.2 |
| OREB / G | 12.1 | 12.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.96 | 1.10 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.9% | 49.2% |
| TOV% | 18.7% | 17.3% |
| ORB% | 34.0% | 32.3% |
| FT Rate | 20.1% | 26.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.3% | 50.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.1% | 18.3% |
| DRB% | 74.5% | 69.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.8% | 31.2% |
Game Analysis
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