Betting Lines
| Spread | JMU -11.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Under |
| Money | JMU -1000 MRSH +500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | JMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | JMU +17 | 145 | Won |
| Massey | JMU -13.4 (+3.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.2 (-8.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | JMU -12.0 (+5.0) | 151.0 (-6.0) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | JMU -13.0 (+4.0) | 150.5 (-5.5) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | JMU -13.5 (+3.5) | 150.4 (-5.4) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | JMU -13.5 (+3.5) | 154.2 (-9.2) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 17, 2026 | MRSH 77 – 72 JMU |
| Jan 8, 2026 | MRSH 66 – 64 JMU |
| Jan 17, 2025 | JMU 67 – 64 MRSH |
| Jan 10, 2025 | MRSH 80 – 78 JMU |
| Feb 22, 2024 | JMU 84 – 58 MRSH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | JMU | MRSH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 32-4 | 13-20 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 7-11 |
| Home | 14-1 | 8-7 |
| Away | 12-2 | 3-9 |
| Neutral | 6-1 | 2-4 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 81.9 | 72.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.9 | 76.9 |
| Massey | 9.2 (#61) | -4.2 (#243) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.03 (#36) | -0.76 (#259) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.21 (#47) | -0.80 (#245) |
| RPI | 0.562 (#64) | 0.478 (#235) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | JMU | MRSH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.4% | 40.5% |
| 3PT% | 35.7% | 31.0% |
| REB / G | 37.9 | 39.4 |
| OREB / G | 11.2 | 12.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.53 | 1.24 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.2% | 46.9% |
| TOV% | 14.7% | 16.4% |
| ORB% | 31.6% | 30.0% |
| FT Rate | 24.1% | 20.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.8% | 51.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.0% | 16.3% |
| DRB% | 72.7% | 72.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.8% | 21.0% |
Game Analysis
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