Betting Lines
| Spread | WSU -12.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 154.5 Under |
| Money | USD +600 WSU -1000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | USD win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WSU +4 | 126 | Lost |
| Massey | WSU -12.9 (+8.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.8 (-27.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 3% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 2% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WSU -11.7 (+7.7) | 150.7 (-24.7) | 15% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WSU -12.4 (+8.4) | 150.5 (-24.5) | 14% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WSU -13.2 (+9.2) | 150.5 (-24.5) | 15% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WSU -11.9 (+7.9) | 151.7 (-25.7) | 16% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 22, 2026 | USD 96 – 92 WSU |
| Feb 28, 2025 | WSU 93 – 86 USD |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | USD | WSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 6-27 | 19-15 |
| Conference | 2-16 | 8-10 |
| Home | 5-13 | 10-4 |
| Away | 0-12 | 5-7 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 4-4 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.2 | 78.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 80.2 | 78.6 |
| Massey | -9.0 (#310) | 7.6 (#75) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.39 (#340) | 1.70 (#58) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.57 (#328) | 2.37 (#55) |
| RPI | 0.401 (#333) | 0.579 (#51) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | USD | WSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.4% | 49.4% |
| 3PT% | 28.1% | 36.7% |
| REB / G | 34.3 | 36.9 |
| OREB / G | 10.7 | 10.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.79 | 1.13 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.7% | 57.2% |
| TOV% | 19.7% | 21.0% |
| ORB% | 28.0% | 33.6% |
| FT Rate | 19.1% | 24.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.2% | 49.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.8% | 17.0% |
| DRB% | 67.2% | 70.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.6% | 21.5% |
Game Analysis
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