Betting Lines
| Spread | TNTC -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Over |
| Money | TNTC -125 SEMO +105 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TNTC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SEMO +7 | 147 | Lost |
| Massey | TNTC -2.9 (-9.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.1 (+3.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 73% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 69% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TNTC -1.6 (-8.6) | 139.5 (+7.5) | 57% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TNTC -1.8 (-8.8) | 141.7 (+5.3) | 61% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TNTC -2.3 (-9.3) | 136.4 (+10.6) | 62% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | TNTC -2.2 (-9.2) | 136.5 (+10.5) | 58% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | SEMO 89 – 73 TNTC |
| Dec 19, 2025 | TNTC 85 – 74 SEMO |
| Feb 15, 2025 | SEMO 83 – 69 TNTC |
| Feb 9, 2024 | SEMO 88 – 69 TNTC |
| Jan 13, 2024 | TNTC 70 – 59 SEMO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TNTC | SEMO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 21-12 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 15-5 |
| Home | 9-5 | 12-3 |
| Away | 5-10 | 8-7 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.8 | 72.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.1 | 69.3 |
| Massey | -6.0 (#270) | -5.2 (#255) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.92 (#254) | -1.24 (#285) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.51 (#277) | -1.51 (#279) |
| RPI | 0.473 (#218) | 0.441 (#280) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TNTC | SEMO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.0% | 42.4% |
| 3PT% | 35.0% | 33.3% |
| REB / G | 34.9 | 31.9 |
| OREB / G | 9.3 | 8.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.20 | 1.09 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.2% | 48.5% |
| TOV% | 17.9% | 15.7% |
| ORB% | 25.4% | 24.5% |
| FT Rate | 17.7% | 20.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.5% | 49.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.9% | 18.6% |
| DRB% | 65.5% | 69.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 15.4% | 31.7% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.