Betting Lines
| Spread | SEMO -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Over |
| Money | SEMO +100 TNTC +100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SEMO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SEMO +19 | 157 | Won |
| Massey | TNTC -0.8 (+19.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.1 (+20.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 54% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 46% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TNTC -0.8 (+19.8) | 135.1 (+21.9) | 47% ✗ |
| Model 4 ML ★ | TNTC -0.1 (+19.1) | 135.2 (+21.8) | 41% ✗ |
| Model 3 ML | TNTC -0.3 (+19.3) | 134.1 (+22.9) | 47% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | TNTC -0.5 (+19.5) | 133.7 (+23.3) | 47% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | SEMO 89 – 73 TNTC |
| Dec 19, 2025 | TNTC 85 – 74 SEMO |
| Feb 15, 2025 | SEMO 83 – 69 TNTC |
| Jan 17, 2025 | SEMO 77 – 70 TNTC |
| Jan 13, 2024 | TNTC 70 – 59 SEMO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SEMO | TNTC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-22 | 10-21 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 5-13 |
| Home | 8-7 | 7-8 |
| Away | 1-14 | 3-13 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 0-5 |
| Streak | W1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.5 | 64.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.2 | 73.7 |
| Massey | -16.0 (#357) | -11.9 (#334) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.57 (#351) | -2.14 (#337) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.37 (#351) | -2.53 (#334) |
| RPI | 0.378 (#351) | 0.405 (#328) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SEMO | TNTC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.7% | 43.6% |
| 3PT% | 28.5% | 31.6% |
| REB / G | 31.2 | 29.6 |
| OREB / G | 9.2 | 5.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.79 | 0.90 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.7% | 49.0% |
| TOV% | 19.3% | 17.6% |
| ORB% | 24.3% | 17.5% |
| FT Rate | 18.0% | 22.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.1% | 53.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.5% | 15.6% |
| DRB% | 70.1% | 71.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 31.6% | 20.2% |
Game Analysis
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