Betting Lines
| Spread | SEMO -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Over |
| Money | SEMO -290 TNTC +240 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SEMO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SEMO +14 | 152 | Won |
| Massey | SEMO -8.0 (+6.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.7 (+6.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 78% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SEMO -6.7 (+7.3) | 144.0 (+8.0) | 79% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SEMO -7.3 (+6.7) | 147.2 (+4.8) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SEMO -7.4 (+6.6) | 142.2 (+9.8) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SEMO -6.9 (+7.1) | 142.4 (+9.6) | 78% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | SEMO 89 – 73 TNTC |
| Dec 19, 2025 | TNTC 85 – 74 SEMO |
| Jan 17, 2025 | SEMO 77 – 70 TNTC |
| Feb 9, 2024 | SEMO 88 – 69 TNTC |
| Jan 13, 2024 | TNTC 70 – 59 SEMO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SEMO | TNTC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-12 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 15-5 | 10-10 |
| Home | 12-3 | 9-5 |
| Away | 8-7 | 5-10 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.3 | 70.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.3 | 74.1 |
| Massey | -2.3 (#202) | -7.1 (#280) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.42 (#209) | -1.12 (#274) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.65 (#222) | -1.70 (#289) |
| RPI | 0.504 (#171) | 0.463 (#251) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SEMO | TNTC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.8% | 42.8% |
| 3PT% | 33.9% | 35.5% |
| REB / G | 31.6 | 34.6 |
| OREB / G | 8.6 | 9.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.17 | 1.22 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.7% | 50.8% |
| TOV% | 15.5% | 17.7% |
| ORB% | 25.5% | 25.4% |
| FT Rate | 21.6% | 20.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.7% | 48.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.8% | 14.8% |
| DRB% | 71.1% | 66.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 31.7% | 16.6% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.