Betting Lines
| Spread | HAW -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Under |
| Money | HAW -165 CSUN +140 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HAW win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CSUN +23 | 143 | Lost |
| Massey | HAW -1.0 (-24.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.2 (-9.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 69% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 72% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HAW -1.3 (-24.3) | 149.9 (-6.9) | 54% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HAW -0.7 (-23.7) | 146.7 (-3.7) | 59% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HAW -1.3 (-24.3) | 147.3 (-4.3) | 57% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | HAW -0.9 (-23.9) | 148.9 (-5.9) | 53% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 15, 2026 | CSUN 84 – 60 HAW |
| Jan 25, 2026 | HAW 89 – 68 CSUN |
| Mar 9, 2025 | CSUN 82 – 73 HAW |
| Mar 15, 2024 | HAW 75 – 68 CSUN |
| Mar 7, 2024 | HAW 72 – 70 CSUN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HAW | CSUN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-16 | 22-11 |
| Conference | 7-13 | 14-6 |
| Home | 13-7 | 10-3 |
| Away | 2-9 | 10-7 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.3 | 79.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.9 | 74.3 |
| Massey | 0.2 (#162) | 2.9 (#112) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.41 (#130) | 0.27 (#149) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.42 (#138) | 0.27 (#151) |
| RPI | 0.497 (#178) | 0.489 (#191) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HAW | CSUN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.8% | 46.1% |
| 3PT% | 31.2% | 33.4% |
| REB / G | 35.9 | 39.6 |
| OREB / G | 9.8 | 12.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.90 | 1.12 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.4% | 51.4% |
| TOV% | 20.0% | 18.6% |
| ORB% | 33.1% | 32.6% |
| FT Rate | 31.9% | 28.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.6% | 48.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 12.6% | 21.4% |
| DRB% | 76.0% | 76.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.9% | 39.9% |
Game Analysis
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