Betting Lines
| Spread | HAW -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 162.5 Under |
| Money | CSUN +136 HAW -162 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CSUN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CSUN +24 | 144 | Won |
| Massey | HAW -5.7 (+29.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 158.8 (-14.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 45% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 39% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HAW -3.7 (+27.7) | 153.8 (-9.8) | 38% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HAW -1.8 (+25.8) | 152.5 (-8.5) | 52% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HAW -2.8 (+26.8) | 151.2 (-7.2) | 38% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | HAW -3.2 (+27.2) | 152.8 (-8.8) | 34% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 25, 2026 | HAW 89 – 68 CSUN |
| Mar 9, 2025 | CSUN 82 – 73 HAW |
| Jan 17, 2025 | CSUN 83 – 60 HAW |
| Mar 15, 2024 | HAW 75 – 68 CSUN |
| Mar 7, 2024 | HAW 72 – 70 CSUN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CSUN | HAW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-14 | 24-9 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 14-6 |
| Home | 12-3 | 16-3 |
| Away | 7-8 | 6-5 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.6 | 78.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 81.3 | 71.2 |
| Massey | -1.7 (#192) | 7.0 (#86) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.21 (#149) | 0.93 (#93) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.02 (#163) | 1.04 (#95) |
| RPI | 0.516 (#141) | 0.530 (#108) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CSUN | HAW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.3% | 46.4% |
| 3PT% | 34.2% | 33.1% |
| REB / G | 39.9 | 39.3 |
| OREB / G | 12.0 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.27 | 1.00 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.2% | 52.9% |
| TOV% | 18.0% | 19.3% |
| ORB% | 32.0% | 32.4% |
| FT Rate | 23.5% | 31.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.1% | 44.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.0% | 17.1% |
| DRB% | 74.0% | 74.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.7% | 23.6% |
Game Analysis
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