Betting Lines
| Spread | HAW -8.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 145.0 Under |
| Money | HAW -350 CSUN +275 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HAW win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HAW +2 | 142 | Won |
| Massey | HAW -6.8 (-4.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.8 (-4.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 68% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HAW -5.7 (-3.7) | 145.5 (-3.5) | 76% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HAW -6.2 (-4.2) | 143.9 (-1.9) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HAW -5.6 (-3.6) | 144.5 (-2.5) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | HAW -5.5 (-3.5) | 144.5 (-2.5) | 78% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 15, 2026 | CSUN 84 – 60 HAW |
| Jan 25, 2026 | HAW 89 – 68 CSUN |
| Mar 9, 2025 | CSUN 82 – 73 HAW |
| Jan 17, 2025 | CSUN 83 – 60 HAW |
| Mar 15, 2024 | HAW 75 – 68 CSUN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HAW | CSUN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-14 | 19-15 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 9-11 |
| Home | 13-6 | 9-7 |
| Away | 4-6 | 9-7 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.8 | 73.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.3 | 74.4 |
| Massey | 0.0 (#162) | -3.5 (#230) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.01 (#167) | -0.17 (#186) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.06 (#170) | -0.40 (#202) |
| RPI | 0.485 (#209) | 0.465 (#255) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HAW | CSUN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.6% | 44.8% |
| 3PT% | 33.4% | 29.9% |
| REB / G | 33.7 | 39.0 |
| OREB / G | 8.3 | 11.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.94 | 0.94 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.7% | 48.8% |
| TOV% | 18.5% | 19.3% |
| ORB% | 26.0% | 31.7% |
| FT Rate | 27.5% | 26.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.6% | 48.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.5% | 17.9% |
| DRB% | 75.2% | 73.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.5% | 28.3% |
Game Analysis
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