Betting Lines
| Spread | HAW -10.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 158.5 Under |
| Money | HAW -600 CSUN +440 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HAW win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HAW +21 | 157 | Won |
| Massey | HAW -13.5 (+7.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.6 (+3.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 80% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HAW -12.5 (+8.5) | 153.1 (+3.9) | 86% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HAW -9.0 (+12.0) | 151.2 (+5.8) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HAW -11.0 (+10.0) | 148.9 (+8.1) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | HAW -12.4 (+8.6) | 149.7 (+7.3) | 85% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 15, 2026 | CSUN 84 – 60 HAW |
| Mar 9, 2025 | CSUN 82 – 73 HAW |
| Jan 17, 2025 | CSUN 83 – 60 HAW |
| Mar 15, 2024 | HAW 75 – 68 CSUN |
| Mar 7, 2024 | HAW 72 – 70 CSUN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HAW | CSUN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-9 | 20-14 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 12-8 |
| Home | 16-3 | 12-3 |
| Away | 6-5 | 7-8 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.7 | 80.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.2 | 81.3 |
| Massey | 7.1 (#88) | -3.1 (#213) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.74 (#104) | -0.08 (#178) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.87 (#108) | -0.33 (#195) |
| RPI | 0.514 (#141) | 0.500 (#182) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HAW | CSUN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.7% | 45.4% |
| 3PT% | 31.6% | 32.5% |
| REB / G | 39.4 | 39.5 |
| OREB / G | 11.3 | 12.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.99 | 1.18 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.8% | 51.1% |
| TOV% | 19.4% | 18.2% |
| ORB% | 33.7% | 32.1% |
| FT Rate | 30.4% | 25.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 43.7% | 52.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.4% | 15.4% |
| DRB% | 75.0% | 74.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.5% | 28.2% |
Game Analysis
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