Betting Lines
| Spread | HAW -6.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 141.0 Over |
| Money | HAW -250 CSUN +205 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HAW win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HAW +7 | 143 | Won |
| Massey | HAW -3.4 (+3.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.4 (-1.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 55% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HAW -2.6 (+4.4) | 144.0 (-1.0) | 61% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HAW -3.6 (+3.4) | 142.6 (+0.4) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HAW -2.7 (+4.3) | 140.9 (+2.1) | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | HAW -2.7 (+4.3) | 142.1 (+0.9) | 63% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 15, 2026 | CSUN 84 – 60 HAW |
| Jan 25, 2026 | HAW 89 – 68 CSUN |
| Mar 9, 2025 | CSUN 82 – 73 HAW |
| Jan 17, 2025 | CSUN 83 – 60 HAW |
| Mar 7, 2024 | HAW 72 – 70 CSUN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HAW | CSUN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-14 | 19-15 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 9-11 |
| Home | 13-6 | 9-7 |
| Away | 4-6 | 9-7 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.8 | 73.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.3 | 74.4 |
| Massey | 0.2 (#164) | -3.2 (#224) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.07 (#163) | -0.14 (#187) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.02 (#167) | -0.35 (#201) |
| RPI | 0.489 (#202) | 0.468 (#249) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HAW | CSUN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.5% | 44.9% |
| 3PT% | 33.6% | 30.5% |
| REB / G | 33.8 | 39.0 |
| OREB / G | 8.3 | 11.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.94 | 0.96 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.7% | 48.9% |
| TOV% | 18.5% | 19.1% |
| ORB% | 26.1% | 31.4% |
| FT Rate | 27.7% | 25.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.5% | 48.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.7% | 17.9% |
| DRB% | 75.1% | 73.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.0% | 28.8% |
Game Analysis
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