Lights going out, and a kick in the balls. "That's Entertainment" - The Jam
Big West Conference · Premier America Credit Union Arena · March 9, 2025
Betting Lines
Spread CSUN -11.5 Away covered
O/U 150.5 Over
Money CSUN -700 / HAW +450
Model Predictions
Spread Total CSUN win
Actual CSUN +9 155 Won
Massey CSUN -11.0 (-2.0) — —
Massey Totals — 149.3 (+5.7) —
Bradley-Terry — — 87% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 89% ✓
Baseline Plus ML CSUN -10.2 (-1.2) 145.4 (+9.6) 86% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ CSUN -7.8 (+1.2) 143.1 (+11.9) 84% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML CSUN -9.8 (-0.8) 147.9 (+7.1) 84% ✓
Baseline ML CSUN -9.7 (-0.7) 147.5 (+7.5) 86% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 15, 2026 CSUN 84 – 60 HAW
Jan 25, 2026 HAW 89 – 68 CSUN
Jan 17, 2025 CSUN 83 – 60 HAW
Mar 15, 2024 HAW 75 – 68 CSUN
Mar 7, 2024 HAW 72 – 70 CSUN

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings CSUN HAW
Overall 22-11 15-16
Conference 14-6 7-13
Home 10-3 13-7
Away 10-7 2-9
Neutral 2-1 0-0
Last 5 3-2 1-4
Streak L2 L2
Avg Pts For 79.5 69.3
Avg Pts Against 74.3 71.9
Massey 4.2 (#101) -3.4 (#222)
Bradley-Terry 1.00 (#90) -0.30 (#199)
W. Bradley-Terry 1.04 (#99) -0.41 (#197)
RPI 0.522 (#139) 0.467 (#248)
Shooting & Four Factors CSUN HAW
FG% 46.3% 45.0%
3PT% 34.6% 30.8%
REB / G 39.6 35.1
OREB / G 13.0 9.7
AST / TO 1.17 0.83
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 51.7% 50.6%
TOV% 18.8% 20.8%
ORB% 35.8% 31.1%
FT Rate 26.4% 29.7%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 50.0% 49.1%
Opp TOV% 20.6% 13.0%
DRB% 75.9% 75.0%
Opp FT Rate 34.9% 25.4%

Game Analysis

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