Betting Lines
| Spread | CSUN -11.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Over |
| Money | CSUN -700 HAW +450 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CSUN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CSUN +9 | 155 | Won |
| Massey | CSUN -11.0 (-2.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.3 (+5.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 87% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CSUN -7.8 (+1.2) | 143.1 (+11.9) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CSUN -9.8 (-0.8) | 147.9 (+7.1) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CSUN -9.7 (-0.7) | 147.5 (+7.5) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CSUN -10.2 (-1.2) | 145.4 (+9.6) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 15, 2026 | CSUN 84 – 60 HAW |
| Jan 25, 2026 | HAW 89 – 68 CSUN |
| Jan 17, 2025 | CSUN 83 – 60 HAW |
| Mar 15, 2024 | HAW 75 – 68 CSUN |
| Mar 7, 2024 | HAW 72 – 70 CSUN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CSUN | HAW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-11 | 15-16 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 7-13 |
| Home | 10-3 | 13-7 |
| Away | 10-7 | 2-9 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.5 | 69.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.3 | 71.9 |
| Massey | 4.2 (#101) | -3.4 (#222) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.00 (#90) | -0.30 (#199) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.04 (#99) | -0.41 (#197) |
| RPI | 0.522 (#139) | 0.467 (#248) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CSUN | HAW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.3% | 45.0% |
| 3PT% | 34.6% | 30.8% |
| REB / G | 39.6 | 35.1 |
| OREB / G | 13.0 | 9.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.17 | 0.83 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.7% | 50.6% |
| TOV% | 18.8% | 20.8% |
| ORB% | 35.8% | 31.1% |
| FT Rate | 26.4% | 29.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.0% | 49.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.6% | 13.0% |
| DRB% | 75.9% | 75.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 34.9% | 25.4% |
Game Analysis
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