Betting Lines
| Spread | UCI -19.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Over |
| Money | UCI -3000 CSUF +1200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UCI win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UCI +20 | 144 | Won |
| Massey | UCI -26.6 (-6.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.8 (+11.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCI -23.8 (-3.8) | 138.3 (+5.7) | 91% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UCI -19.9 (+0.1) | 140.1 (+3.9) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UCI -20.5 (-0.5) | 137.3 (+6.7) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UCI -23.5 (-3.5) | 138.6 (+5.4) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 15, 2026 | UCI 86 – 65 CSUF |
| Jan 4, 2026 | UCI 86 – 64 CSUF |
| Feb 28, 2025 | UCI 76 – 51 CSUF |
| Mar 10, 2024 | UCI 81 – 71 CSUF |
| Jan 5, 2024 | UCI 75 – 67 CSUF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UCI | CSUF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 32-7 | 6-26 |
| Conference | 17-3 | 1-19 |
| Home | 13-2 | 4-11 |
| Away | 14-3 | 2-15 |
| Neutral | 5-2 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L12 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.8 | 62.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.4 | 78.7 |
| Massey | 11.2 (#52) | -11.6 (#336) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.74 (#25) | -1.83 (#320) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.88 (#44) | -2.50 (#322) |
| RPI | 0.635 (#19) | 0.410 (#322) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UCI | CSUF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.9% | 40.8% |
| 3PT% | 33.3% | 25.7% |
| REB / G | 39.3 | 30.7 |
| OREB / G | 9.4 | 8.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.10 | 0.57 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.3% | 45.0% |
| TOV% | 19.3% | 21.3% |
| ORB% | 28.5% | 27.1% |
| FT Rate | 30.3% | 31.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.8% | 53.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.6% | 17.1% |
| DRB% | 75.5% | 68.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 14.6% | 31.1% |
Game Analysis
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