Betting Lines
| Spread | UCI -17.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Under |
| Money | CSUF +1300 UCI -4000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CSUF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UCI +25 | 127 | Lost |
| Massey | UCI -18.2 (-6.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.0 (-11.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 3% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 2% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCI -14.2 (-10.8) | 140.5 (-13.5) | 13% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UCI -14.0 (-11.0) | 139.7 (-12.7) | 14% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UCI -14.6 (-10.4) | 137.2 (-10.2) | 13% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UCI -15.5 (-9.5) | 138.5 (-11.5) | 12% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 15, 2026 | UCI 86 – 65 CSUF |
| Jan 4, 2026 | UCI 86 – 64 CSUF |
| Jan 17, 2025 | UCI 82 – 62 CSUF |
| Mar 10, 2024 | UCI 81 – 71 CSUF |
| Jan 5, 2024 | UCI 75 – 67 CSUF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CSUF | UCI |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 6-26 | 32-7 |
| Conference | 1-19 | 17-3 |
| Home | 4-11 | 13-2 |
| Away | 2-15 | 14-3 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 5-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L12 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 62.3 | 75.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.7 | 67.4 |
| Massey | -13.2 (#348) | 8.3 (#71) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.00 (#329) | 2.07 (#44) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.45 (#326) | 2.13 (#60) |
| RPI | 0.413 (#330) | 0.596 (#30) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CSUF | UCI |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.2% | 44.3% |
| 3PT% | 27.0% | 34.9% |
| REB / G | 32.0 | 39.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.2 | 9.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.60 | 1.19 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.7% | 50.4% |
| TOV% | 21.1% | 18.7% |
| ORB% | 26.5% | 28.4% |
| FT Rate | 30.9% | 29.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.5% | 45.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.9% | 17.7% |
| DRB% | 68.4% | 73.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.7% | 16.1% |
Game Analysis
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